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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | mildwindow27 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (555–663, n=1218) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 40% (4991–7640, n=12631) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | $68K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #337 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (21 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (54 of 70 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 43% of 124) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 4% (won 55% of 214) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | mildwindow27 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.2K | — | No $632 | — |