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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) | 53% (2490–2230, n=4720) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $3.2M | $12K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (52 of 74 open) | 54% (26 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 2% (won 96% of 24) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 32% (won 98% of 333) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 51% (won 98% of 527) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 14% (won 97% of 147) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |