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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesRN1
Record (consensus markets)96% (291–13, n=304)no settled marketno settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$8.4M—$0-$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #7was PM monthly #987PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (32 of 39 open)no open consensus position85% (17 of 20 open)46% (40 of 87 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%——
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)8% (won 0% of 1)——
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)8% (won 0% of 1)——
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)——
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)15% (won 100% of 2)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesRN1
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $85Rockets $2.7K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $77Rockets $2.5K
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $81Rockets $686