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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677sainttroplayzerone777
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (10–9, n=19)no settled market42% (409–560, n=969)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$5.6M—$163K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1—PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (23 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)—56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)—2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)—5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)—36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.