Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankropetard
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)75% (85–28, n=113)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$79K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #351
Sides with the consensus70% (79 of 113 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +8 pts n=131, ROI +2%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%58% of 132 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)6% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)42% (won 44% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)49% (won 72% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)3% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.