Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CoffeeDespiserjoseph00677ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)50% (842–838, n=1680)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (876–458, n=1334)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$67K$5.6M$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #436PM monthly #2PM monthly #26was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)no open consensus position72% (28 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=696—NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won49% of 1735 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 10% of 396)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 43% of 502)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 58% of 461)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 310)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 86% of 376)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 544)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCoffeeDespiserjoseph00677ndb1sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $7.5K—No $94K—