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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CoffeeDespiserndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)50% (841–838, n=1679)66% (875–459, n=1334)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$67K$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #436PM monthly #25was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)71% (30 of 42 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=696NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won49% of 1735 at avg 49¢, ROI −1%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 10% of 396)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 43% of 502)20% (won 40% of 253)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 58% of 461)24% (won 57% of 310)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 86% of 376)43% (won 93% of 544)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.