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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CoffeeDespiser | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 50% (842–838, n=1680) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$67K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #436 | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | 74% (26 of 35 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=696 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1735 at avg 49¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 23% (won 10% of 396) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 29% (won 43% of 502) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 27% (won 58% of 461) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 22% (won 86% of 376) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.