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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CosmicCedar | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (693–270, n=963) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $12K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #361 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 820 at avg 74¢, ROI +5% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 16% of 173) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 75% of 12) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 95% of 37) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 73% (won 99% of 598) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CosmicCedar | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | Yes $77K | — | — |