Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DamwonChampions20260x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188ndb1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)57% (542–416, n=958)46% (131–154, n=285)65% (862–456, n=1318)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$503K-$6.6M$4.1M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #645was PM monthly #715PM monthly #69was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (48 of 71 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicTennis −14 pts, n=12College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NFL −10 pts, n=132NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won57% of 912 at avg 52¢, ROI +5%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢25% (won 3% of 230)0% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 35% of 171)42% (won 46% of 565)20% (won 39% of 252)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 79% of 213)57% (won 51% of 766)24% (won 57% of 306)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 95% of 298)0% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 93% of 540)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.