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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eulhunter0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)46% (131–154, n=285)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$271K$19.0M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #340was PM monthly #715PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position90% (146 of 163 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)42% (won 46% of 565)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)57% (won 51% of 766)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)0% (won 100% of 4)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.