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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FakeMadridFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)59% (909–626, n=1535)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$3.3M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (197 of 277 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +8 pts n=260, ROI +4%
  • NFL +24 pts n=17, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=872, ROI +2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −1 pts, n=39Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won61% of 1475 at avg 57¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 16% of 131)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 48% of 417)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 62% of 519)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 85% of 408)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.