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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | NagastaBagambi | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (423–151, n=574) | no settled market | no settled market | 68% (302–139, n=441) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | — | — | -$51K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | — | PM monthly #158 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (41 of 59 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | — | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 10% of 30) | — | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 29% of 17) | — | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 55% of 11) | — | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 34% (won 83% of 30) | — | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | NagastaBagambi | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin same side · consensus Michael Geerts | Michael Geerts $4.2K | — | — | Michael Geerts $8.3K |