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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1papaebal
Record (consensus markets)56% (13275–10642, n=23917)43% (10–13, n=23)64% (1102–633, n=1735)46% (121–142, n=263)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$4.6M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #109PM monthly #903
Sides with the consensus72% (94 of 131 open)no open consensus position73% (71 of 97 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%93% of 135 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)9% (won 92% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)35% (won 94% of 47)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)39% (won 90% of 52)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)18% (won 96% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.