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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1pollo07
Record (consensus markets)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (896–472, n=1368)37% (396–661, n=1057)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$4.5M$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #100PM monthly #78
Sides with the consensus76% (132 of 173 open)no open consensus position76% (31 of 41 open)81% (349 of 433 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139Elections −3 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)51% (won 1% of 207)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)3% (won 45% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)44% (won 96% of 179)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.