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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1winner877
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1095–632, n=1727)95% (1516–78, n=1594)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$4.6M$151K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #113PM monthly #414
Sides with the consensus72% (143 of 199 open)no open consensus position72% (71 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147Other Sports −10 pts, n=16
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%95% of 935 at avg 96¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)1% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)1% (won 29% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)1% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)98% (won 97% of 912)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.