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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GayPridesainttroplayCORGII
Record (consensus markets)80% (401–100, n=501)71% (10–4, n=14)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$654K$4.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997was PM monthly #11PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus57% (16 of 28 open)no open consensus position25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won81% of 500 at avg 65¢, ROI +12%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 30% of 106)0%9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 74% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 94% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 99% of 270)0%2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.