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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Herdonia | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 90% (982–109, n=1091) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $57K | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #496 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (15 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 965 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 100% of 17) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 99% of 353) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 497) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 100% of 98) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Herdonia | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $145 | — | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $446 | — | Chiefs $152K |