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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HolyMoses70xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)53% (1139–991, n=2130)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL$186K-$352K
Tracked asPM monthly #604was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEconomy ±0 pts, n=81Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won43% of 1983 at avg 42¢, ROI −1%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢57% (won 4% of 1132)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 43% of 49)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 80% of 41)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 99% of 761)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.