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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Hongweiqianjoseph00677CORGII0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)50% (295–295, n=590)50% (10–10, n=20)61% (395–248, n=643)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$1.6K$5.3M$4.5M$19.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #839PM monthly #2PM monthly #68was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +27 pts n=145, ROI +36%
  • MLB +24 pts n=52, ROI +27%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=76, ROI +22%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won74% of 428 at avg 54¢, ROI +26%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 26% of 19)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 92% of 36)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 71% of 139)6% (won 0% of 1)56% (won 99% of 223)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 77% of 226)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 100% of 133)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 84% of 44)18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 100% of 7)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.