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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JhonAlexanderHinestrozandb1
Record (consensus markets)60% (1185–796, n=1981)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL$424K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #190PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (59 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +44 pts n=102, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1594, ROI +8%
  • NFL +20 pts n=29, ROI +15%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won75% of 1730 at avg 57¢, ROI +10%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 47% of 214)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 64% of 440)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 79% of 575)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 93% of 501)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.