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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JordanMooney0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)32% (1016–2191, n=3207)61% (495–321, n=816)65% (862–456, n=1318)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$22K-$352K$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #380was PM monthly #51PM monthly #69was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)72% (13 of 18 open)68% (48 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +3 pts n=32, ROI +5%
  • F1 +4 pts n=25, ROI +3%
  • MLB +8 pts n=11, ROI −1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=216Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won37% of 1760 at avg 38¢, ROI −3%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 1% of 1036)15% (won 29% of 125)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 42% of 66)34% (won 58% of 283)20% (won 39% of 252)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 65% of 72)43% (won 69% of 354)24% (won 57% of 306)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 97% of 586)7% (won 80% of 60)43% (won 93% of 540)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJordanMooney0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1sainttroplay
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.4KNo $146—