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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JordanMooneybeachboy4ndb1joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)32% (1016–2191, n=3207)68% (43–20, n=63)65% (862–456, n=1318)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$22K$5.8M$4.1M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #380was PM monthly #24PM monthly #69PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus67% (12 of 18 open)100% (1 of 1 open)68% (48 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +3 pts n=32, ROI +5%
  • F1 +4 pts n=25, ROI +3%
  • MLB +8 pts n=11, ROI −1%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=216NBA −6 pts, n=93NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won37% of 1760 at avg 38¢, ROI −3%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 1% of 1036)3% (won 17% of 6)13% (won 16% of 160)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 42% of 66)30% (won 57% of 63)20% (won 39% of 252)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 65% of 72)54% (won 51% of 115)24% (won 57% of 306)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 97% of 586)14% (won 86% of 29)43% (won 93% of 540)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.