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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Justluck9RN1pleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)43% (128–167, n=295)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)49% (345–353, n=698)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL-$1.6K$13.4M$3.2M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #947PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +48 pts n=48, ROI +48%
  • MLB +48 pts n=31, ROI +45%
  • NFL +57 pts n=12, ROI +52%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——MLB −1 pts, n=694Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won96% of 132 at avg 47¢, ROI +49%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 94% of 16)10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 56)22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 92% of 53)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJustluck9RN1pleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Buse
Zizou Bergs $3Ignacio Buse $42K——