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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kangta73730xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (1103–835, n=1938)61% (495–321, n=816)53% (10–9, n=19)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$130K-$352K$5.6M$11.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863was PM monthly #51PM monthly #2PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus position86% (134 of 156 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=61Soccer ±0 pts, n=115——
Settled positions, side won68% of 2149 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 27% of 82)15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 53% of 517)34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 70% of 1077)43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 84% of 473)7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.