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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LornaPredicts0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)13% (1178–7684, n=8862)46% (131–154, n=285)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$22K$19.1M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #776was PM monthly #715was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus49% (136 of 276 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +3 pts n=83, ROI 0%
  • MMA +4 pts n=13, ROI −1%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEconomy −4 pts, n=144College Basketball −12 pts, n=174NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won5% of 4406 at avg 6¢, ROI −1%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢95% (won 2% of 4189)0% (won 17% of 6)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 28% of 65)42% (won 46% of 565)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 50% of 42)57% (won 51% of 766)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 79% of 110)0% (won 100% of 4)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.