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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MenacingTurtle0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGIIjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)52% (108–101, n=209)61% (495–321, n=816)61% (395–248, n=643)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$136K-$352K$194K$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #492was PM monthly #51PM monthly #68PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus70% (33 of 47 open)75% (6 of 8 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=131, ROI −3%
  • MLB +6 pts n=18, ROI −10%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115——
Settled positions, side won66% of 164 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 7% of 43)15% (won 29% of 125)9% (won 92% of 36)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 27% of 11)34% (won 58% of 283)56% (won 99% of 223)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 82% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)33% (won 100% of 133)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 95% of 99)7% (won 80% of 60)2% (won 100% of 7)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.