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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NS13RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (367–444, n=811)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)
Consensus PnL$427K$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #105PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +6 pts n=135, ROI +6%
  • Esports +2 pts n=360, ROI −1%
  • NBA +12 pts n=31, ROI −3%
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=191—
Settled positions, side won44% of 804 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 10% of 251)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 40% of 220)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 68% of 244)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 87% of 89)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNS13RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Luciano Darderi $18KRinky Hijikata $34K