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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Nathan8s00gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)14% (3–19, n=22)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12984–14343, n=27327)45% (537–652, n=1189)
Consensus PnL$44K$3.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #963was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)85% (52 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicTennis −15 pts, n=23———
Settled positions, side won10% of 29 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢55% (won 0% of 16)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 23% of 13)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢0%100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up0%0%32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNathan8s00gringo00RN1BreakTheBank
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter
opposite sides · consensus Katie Boulter
Katie Boulter $30K—Viktorija Golubic $2.7K—