← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| OLOTH | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (505–24, n=529) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$20K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (14 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (58 of 82 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=85 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 741 at avg 98¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 25% of 4) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 99% of 737) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | OLOTH | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $11K | — | No $202K |