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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
OddstormRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)49% (5754–5977, n=11731)47% (13870–15347, n=29217)61% (495–321, n=816)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$18K$14.8M-$352K$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #921PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus30% (3 of 10 open)57% (12 of 21 open)75% (6 of 8 open)86% (134 of 156 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=743—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won49% of 7560 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 19% of 1334)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 43% of 2720)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 57% of 2376)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 81% of 1130)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.