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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1sainttroplayzerone777
Record (consensus markets)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)no settled market42% (409–560, n=969)
Consensus PnL$14.8M—$163K
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinned—PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus64% (109 of 169 open)no open consensus position56% (23 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Mentions −2 pts, n=47
Settled positions, side won94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—39% of 335 at avg 40¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2538)—56% (won 1% of 189)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5565)—2% (won 38% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9017)—5% (won 61% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8250)—36% (won 97% of 120)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.