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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RebornAthenaBreakTheBankjoseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)55% (2321–1926, n=4247)45% (542–652, n=1194)50% (10–10, n=20)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$10.6M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position90% (148 of 165 open)no open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +44 pts n=958, ROI +41%
  • NBA +45 pts n=110, ROI +43%
  • Crypto +43 pts n=323, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won94% of 2627 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 88% of 58)10% (won 82% of 56)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 92% of 949)36% (won 98% of 198)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 95% of 1516)35% (won 99% of 191)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 98% of 104)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.