Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SPLPB0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGIIsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)15% (364–2034, n=2398)61% (495–320, n=815)61% (395–248, n=643)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$21K$4.8M$4.5M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #408was PM monthly #51PM monthly #68was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus63% (50 of 79 open)64% (7 of 11 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment −16 pts, n=87Soccer ±0 pts, n=115——
Settled positions, side won23% of 1578 at avg 28¢, ROI −2%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢66% (won 3% of 1041)15% (won 29% of 125)9% (won 92% of 36)0%
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 27% of 120)34% (won 58% of 283)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 50% of 114)43% (won 69% of 354)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 82% of 303)7% (won 80% of 60)2% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.