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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SpringlyFawl | joseph00677 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (1788–4918, n=6706) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 61% (495–321, n=816) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $29K | $5.6M | -$352K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #119 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (21 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 68% (49 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −12 pts, n=119 | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 21% of 2264 at avg 25¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 70% (won 2% of 1586) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 15% (won 29% of 125) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 40% of 141) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 34% (won 58% of 283) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 57% of 230) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 43% (won 69% of 354) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 85% of 307) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 7% (won 80% of 60) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SpringlyFawl | joseph00677 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $7.4K | No $146 |