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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TheGreatBeta | ndb1 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 32% (481–1008, n=1489) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.2K | $4.1M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #465 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (5 of 10 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −8 pts, n=25 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 5% of 924 at avg 3¢, ROI −1% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 100% (won 5% of 923) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TheGreatBeta | ndb1 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | No $2.0K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | No $23 | — |