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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TrueDignity | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (52–55, n=107) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $22K | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #996 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 76 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 49% (won 19% of 37) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 73% of 15) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 92% of 12) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 16% (won 100% of 12) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | TrueDignity | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | Yes $8.6K |