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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Up0nlyBreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)71% (911–365, n=1276)45% (542–652, n=1194)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$86K$11.0M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)91% (150 of 165 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −6 pts, n=16——
Settled positions, side won74% of 1311 at avg 69¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 12% of 84)10% (won 82% of 56)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 35% of 214)36% (won 98% of 198)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 74% of 270)35% (won 99% of 191)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up57% (won 92% of 743)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.