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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WarriorHbeachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)11% (427–3397, n=3824)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (10–10, n=20)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$174K$5.8M$5.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #71was PM monthly #24PM monthly #2was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus81% (168 of 207 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +3 pts n=10, ROI −2%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment −13 pts, n=147NBA −6 pts, n=93—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won11% of 2095 at avg 17¢, ROI −4%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢83% (won 1% of 1737)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 36% of 87)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 51% of 87)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 83% of 184)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWarriorHbeachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K——Yes $6.4K