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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zywoo123beachboy4joseph006770x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)53% (938–821, n=1759)68% (43–20, n=63)53% (10–9, n=19)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$239K$5.8M$5.6M-$6.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #109was PM monthly #24PM monthly #2was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +28 pts n=822, ROI +30%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=89, ROI +18%
  • NBA +5 pts n=436, ROI +2%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won76% of 1354 at avg 56¢, ROI +20%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 37% of 108)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 69% of 369)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 77% of 515)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 362)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.