Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asuka7Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)61% (969–631, n=1600)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)
Consensus PnL-$34K$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #956PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)66% (101 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won73% of 1322 at avg 57¢, ROI +13%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 41% of 128)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 59% of 349)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 79% of 477)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 89% of 368)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasuka7Flaznorp
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $6.4KTheMongolz $2