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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
babybellse46m3fantasy7788Wiretransferxyz
Record (consensus markets)79% (59–16, n=75)75% (6–2, n=8)100% (2–0, n=2)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$4.5K$23$245K-$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #891PM monthly #2PM monthly #83PM monthly #269
Sides with the consensus17% (1 of 6 open)86% (12 of 14 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36——
Settled positions, side won100% of 9 at avg 74¢, ROI +30%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%59% of 495 at avg 53¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 11% of 46)0%6% (won 17% of 29)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 46% of 171)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 75% of 8)50% (won 100% of 1)47% (won 66% of 233)
Entries 70¢ and up78% (won 100% of 7)90% (won 100% of 565)0%13% (won 89% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.