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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (169–244, n=413) | 35% (3667–6666, n=10333) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $802K | $3.1M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #382 | PM monthly #127 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (26 of 31 open) | 63% (19 of 30 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (52 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 411 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 59% of 61) | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 54) | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 54) | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | — | — | No $29K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6.0K | — | — | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | — | No $678 |