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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
capnjack1497FlaznorpS-Works
Record (consensus markets)31% (51–111, n=162)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$50K$4.1M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #665PM monthly #11PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (108 of 166 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +6 pts n=111, ROI +15%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won47% of 111 at avg 41¢, ROI +15%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 16% of 32)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 44% of 32)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 70% of 47)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up0%40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.