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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cruzNBABreakTheBank00gringo000x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)44% (384–486, n=870)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$49K$10.6M$3.5M$19.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #862PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)90% (146 of 163 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +46 pts n=380, ROI +49%
  • NBA +19 pts n=10, ROI +22%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won96% of 394 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 73% of 40)10% (won 82% of 56)0%—
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 96% of 127)36% (won 98% of 198)0%—
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 203)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 24)19% (won 100% of 107)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.