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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| denizz | ndb1 | SaylorMoon | Sisyphus- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 70% (172–74, n=246) | 57% (293–219, n=512) | no settled market | 96% (454–18, n=472) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.3M | $4.6M | — | $648K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #154 | PM monthly #158 | PM monthly #589 | PM monthly #315 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (24 of 27 open) | 72% (65 of 90 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | denizz | ndb1 | SaylorMoon | Sisyphus- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $54K | Yes $1.0K | — |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus Yes | No $7.5K | — | No $3.8K | — |