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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dips.0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)44% (4923–6237, n=11160)46% (131–154, n=285)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$4.9K$19.1M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #290was PM monthly #715PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus29% (28 of 96 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +5 pts n=568, ROI 0%
  • MLB +5 pts n=336, ROI +5%
  • MMA +3 pts n=26, ROI 0%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=4458College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won41% of 7533 at avg 41¢, ROI 0%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 4% of 3651)0% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 34% of 734)42% (won 46% of 565)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 64% of 912)57% (won 51% of 766)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 93% of 2236)0% (won 100% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.