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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
dsasdaas0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188joseph00677beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)67% (240–117, n=357)46% (131–154, n=285)53% (10–9, n=19)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$344K-$6.6M$5.6M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #92was PM monthly #715PM monthly #2was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won100% of 190 at avg 62¢, ROI +30%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 5)0% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 34)42% (won 46% of 565)6% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 100% of 90)57% (won 51% of 766)65% (won 73% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 61)0% (won 100% of 4)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.