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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)67% (240–117, n=357)61% (495–321, n=816)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$344K-$352K$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #92was PM monthly #51PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)91% (150 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—
Settled positions, side won100% of 190 at avg 62¢, ROI +30%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 5)15% (won 29% of 125)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 34)34% (won 58% of 283)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 100% of 90)43% (won 69% of 354)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 61)7% (won 80% of 60)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.