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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ethanazgoogleplayjuice-fruitPacersThreeandahalf
Record (consensus markets)78% (7–2, n=9)40% (2–3, n=5)100% (1–0, n=1)67% (10–5, n=15)
Consensus PnL$112K$391K$152K$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #98PM monthly #15PM monthly #29PM monthly #60
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 58¢, ROI +37%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%100% of 5 at avg 55¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢0%0%2% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 70% of 10)25% (won 100% of 12)40% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 2)76% (won 85% of 41)44% (won 100% of 21)40% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 3)29% (won 100% of 14)20% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.